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Business
Airfare prices dropped: 10 reasons it might not last
By
Jake Beardslee
· February 13, 2024
Airfare fell 6.4% in January from a year earlier,
according to the Labor Department
. However, analysts say this drop may not last for long.
Seasonal factors
January is typically slower for travel after the winter holidays. Demand usually increases during school breaks and spring.
Brett Sayles/Pexels
Capacity constraints
Carriers face constraints from issues like engine recalls and delays, yet executives forecast robust demand domestically and internationally.
Maria Tyutina/Pexels
Analyst perspective
One analyst said capacity declines stem from "artificial constraints" that will persist, so fares may improve as demand remains high,
according to CNBC
.
Connor Danylenko/Wikimedia
Adjusted forecasts
One analyst said capacity declines stem from "artificial constraints" that will persist, so fares may improve as demand remains high.
Pixabay/Pexels
Adjusted forecasts
Southwest and Alaska moderated capacity growth forecasts due to issues like engine problems and delayed aircraft.
Tomás Del Coro from Las Vegas, Nevada, USA/Wikimedia
Rising fares expected
Hopper expects "good deal" domestic fares to average $276 in February but rise over 9% to $302 in May.
Anna Shvets/Pexels
Lingering supply challenges
Delta's CEO said aircraft repairs and suppliers haven't recovered fully from pandemic losses of experience.
Mertbiol/Wikimedia
Recent grounding
Boeing Max 9 planes were grounded, slightly reducing Alaska and United capacity until returning in January.
Hampie/Pexels
Production oversight
The FAA will oversee Boeing manufacturing due to the grounding and potential future delays.
Md Shaifuzzaman Ayon/Wikimedia
Capacity adjustment
Alaska adjusted capacity growth projections down slightly due to the Max grounding and delays.
Noah Wulf/Wikimedia
Industry challenges ahead
United's CEO expects a difficult 2024 as carriers deal with hiring, maintenance and supply issues.
JJ Jordan/Pexels