Trump’s Approval Ratings Hit Negative in Every Swing State

Swing State Approval Slips Below Water

President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has dipped into negative territory in every major swing state for the first time in his presidency, according to new Morning Consult polling. The White House / Wikimedia

Declines Across Key Battlegrounds

In the seven battleground states expected to decide the 2026 midterms — Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina — Trump’s net approval is now negative in each. The margins are: Pennsylvania (-2), Michigan (-5), Wisconsin (-8), Arizona (-2), Georgia (-1), Nevada (-3), and North Carolina (-3). Jack Gruber / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

National Map of Disapproval

Across the country, Trump’s net approval remains above water in just 24 states, down from 25 in the prior update. Georgia and Arizona have recently flipped to negative territory. In Arizona, voters were previously evenly divided on his performance; now the net is -2. In Georgia, his net shifted from +3 to -1. RDNE Stock Project / Pexels

Erosion in the Midwest and Sun Belt

In the Upper Midwest, his standing has declined steadily: in Pennsylvania, from 0 to -2; in Michigan, from -3 to -5; in Wisconsin, from -6 to -8. Meanwhile, in the Sun Belt states, Nevada fell from +4 to -3, and North Carolina from +3 to -3. Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Impact on Down-Ballot Races

The slide in popularity is also showing in states with pivotal 2025 gubernatorial contests. In Virginia, Trump’s approval has dropped to 43 percent (disapproval at 54 percent) from 47 percent earlier. In New Jersey, approval is 42 percent versus 54 percent disapproval — disapproval has increased by one point since early 2025. These states, with open governorships or competitive races, are drawing national attention as possible indicators of voter sentiment heading into 2026. Win McNamee-Pool via Imagn Images

Congressional Stakes and Historical Patterns

Control of swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina will likely be decisive in the makeup of Congress in 2026. Historically, the party that holds the White House tends to lose seats in midterm elections. Early polling suggests the generic congressional ballot leans toward Democrats, though some forecasts allow the possibility that Republicans could retain control. Krisztian Kormos / Pexels

Approval Under 50 Percent and Consequences

Trump’s nationwide approval has fallen below 50 percent in multiple polls. Newsweek’s tracking places it at 44 percent, while Morning Consult’s national survey shows 45 percent. Analysts warn that a sustained approval rate under 50 percent can hurt the president’s party in midterms by energizing opposition turnout and complicating campaign messaging, especially in swing districts. Andrew Nelles via Imagn Content Services, LLC