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Trump’s Popularity Drops Double-Digits in Republican Stronghold Texas

By Jake Beardslee · March 27, 2025

Poll Reveals 15-Point Favorability Drop for Trump Among Texas Voters

A new poll released Thursday by Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) shows a dramatic 15-point drop in favorable views of Donald Trump among Texas voters—a state long considered a Republican stronghold.  The White House / Wikimedia

Shift in Public Sentiment Despite Trump’s 2024 Texas Victory

Despite Trump's 2024 victory in Texas by nearly 14 points, buoyed by strong support among Hispanic voters in South Texas, the latest numbers reveal a shift in public sentiment. The TPOR survey shows Trump’s favorability now sits at -3, with 50% of Texans holding an unfavorable opinion compared to 47% with a favorable view. This marks a sharp decline from his +12 favorability rating just after the November 2024 election.  Aerra Carnicom / Wikimedia

TPOR: Trump Favorability Drops from +12 to -3 Between November and March

TPOR analysts noted: “The data shows a significant decline in President Donald Trump's favorability ratings between November and March. From November to March, Trump's favorability rating dropped from 55% favorable, 43% unfavorable (+12) to 47% favorable, 50% unfavorable (-3)—a 15-point swing.” The report also highlighted a drop in Trump’s "very favorable" rating, from 42% in November to 37% in March 2025.  The White House / Wikimedia

Other Conservative Figures Also See Declining Approval in Texas

This trend is not isolated. Other conservative figures are also seeing unfavorable numbers in the Lone Star State. Vice President JD Vance is at -3 favorability, and Elon Musk—now head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)—is at -10. Senator John Cornyn, facing reelection in 2026, is particularly underwater with a -22 favorability rating. In contrast, Attorney General Ken Paxton, considered a potential primary challenger to Cornyn, stands at -5.  Kenny Holston-Pool via Imagn Images

Democrat Colin Allred Emerges with Positive Favorability Rating

Meanwhile, Democrats have reasons for cautious optimism. Former Representative Colin Allred, who lost to Senator Ted Cruz last year, holds a +7 favorability rating—higher than many of his Democratic peers, including Vice President Kamala Harris.  Official House Photographer, Ike Hayman / Wikimedia

Texas Political Landscape Shifts Ahead of 2024 and Beyond

As Texas remains a key battleground with its 40 electoral votes, whether Democrats can capitalize on this shift remains uncertain. Trump's approval ratings could be further influenced by future developments in the economy, trade policies, and international affairs.  Talena Reese / Pexels