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Rosenberg: Trump’s controversies will cost Republicans the 2024 Election, don’t underestimate Biden

By Jake Beardslee · December 27, 2023

In brief…

  • Rosenberg argues Biden's presidency has been underestimated and will lead to Democratic victory in 2024.
  • He believes Trump's controversies and "baggage" will weigh down GOP in 2024.
  • Points to Biden's handling of COVID, economic recovery, Democratic popular vote wins.
  • Says Trump represents an "unprecedented threat".
  • Believes pundits are underestimating Biden and overestimating Trump.
Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg contends in an op-ed that President Biden's successful record is underestimated while Trump's controversies are a liability, giving Democrats the advantage in 2024.  Staff Sgt. Marianique Santos/Wikimedia

Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg argues that President Biden’s record is stronger than many think and will lead to Democratic victory in 2024, while Trump’s controversies will sink Republican chances, according to an op-ed published on MSNBC on Tuesday.

Rosenberg pushes back against forecasts of Republican victory, stating he is “optimistic 2024 is going to be a good year for Democrats.” He touts Biden’s leadership through COVID-19, economic recovery, record low uninsured rate, and falling gas prices and crime. “It’s increasingly clear that America is getting to the other side of this challenging period, and are in a far better place than when President Biden took office,” Rosenberg wrote.

Meanwhile, Rosenberg argues Trump’s “baggage and MAGA’s repeated electoral failures” must be considered. He states Trump represents an “unprecedented threat” and has the “highest ‘negatives’ of any candidate perhaps in our history.” Rosenberg also notes Democrats have won the popular vote in 7 of the last 8 presidential elections.

Current polls show a tight race between Biden and Trump in 2024. However, few Americans want to see a rematch between the two. Biden faces criticism over his age and low approval, while Trump remains mired in controversy.

Rosenberg believes Biden’s record and Trump’s negatives give Democrats the advantage in 2024, despite pundits predicting a Republican victory. He makes the case that underestimating Biden and overestimating Trump could upend expectations next year.